Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.181211e-03 1.337405e-03 0.001495 0.001667 0.001847 0.002030 0.002230
2025-03-16 9.312948e-04 1.152389e-03 0.001385 0.001645 0.001925 0.002217 0.002542
2025-03-23 7.958699e-04 1.069976e-03 0.001368 0.001710 0.002087 0.002486 0.002938
2025-03-30 6.524874e-04 9.623464e-04 0.001311 0.001722 0.002185 0.002683 0.003253
2025-04-06 5.520809e-04 8.923222e-04 0.001288 0.001766 0.002313 0.002910 0.003600
2025-04-13 4.882818e-04 8.583134e-04 0.001302 0.001847 0.002481 0.003178 0.003991
2025-04-20 3.653628e-04 7.355477e-04 0.001200 0.001787 0.002481 0.003256 0.004167
2025-04-27 2.596184e-04 6.197533e-04 0.001096 0.001717 0.002464 0.003308 0.004312
2025-05-04 2.175265e-04 5.870749e-04 0.001094 0.001766 0.002584 0.003516 0.004630
2025-05-11 1.413820e-04 4.883135e-04 0.000997 0.001692 0.002555 0.003548 0.004745
2025-05-18 7.671688e-05 3.882962e-04 0.000888 0.001596 0.002492 0.003538 0.004810
2025-05-25 4.596152e-05 3.389190e-04 0.000845 0.001581 0.002527 0.003639 0.004999
2025-06-01 1.200393e-05 2.618658e-04 0.000766 0.001534 0.002544 0.003747 0.005232
2025-06-08 7.291604e-08 2.036199e-04 0.000707 0.001512 0.002593 0.003895 0.005515
2025-06-15 NaN 1.829377e-04 0.000710 0.001575 0.002750 0.004176 0.005956
2025-06-22 NaN 1.470958e-04 0.000678 0.001587 0.002842 0.004378 0.006306
2025-06-29 NaN 1.250476e-04 0.000668 0.001629 0.002972 0.004627 0.006712
2025-07-06 NaN 1.157803e-04 0.000683 0.001707 0.003150 0.004935 0.007188
2025-07-13 NaN 7.300025e-05 0.000611 0.001649 0.003144 0.005014 0.007392
2025-07-20 NaN 3.830860e-05 0.000538 0.001581 0.003121 0.005070 0.007565
2025-07-27 NaN 3.006459e-05 0.000537 0.001629 0.003254 0.005320 0.007970
2025-08-03 NaN 9.501340e-06 0.000467 0.001557 0.003222 0.005359 0.008120
2025-08-10 NaN 2.640713e-08 0.000391 0.001465 0.003154 0.005352 0.008211